06: Future Climate: Projected Average

Future Climate: Projected Average interprets computer-model simulations of future climate in the region—what the patterns might be over the coming century for temperature, precipitation, atmospheric circulation (long-term weather), and hydrologic (water-related) conditions, such as snow water equivalent, soil moisture, and runoff for the Colorado River and in other basins.


Cayan, D., M. Tyree, K. E. Kunkel, C. Castro, A. Gershunov, J. Barsugli, A. J. Ray, J. Overpeck, M. Anderson, J. Russell, B. Rajagopalan, I. Rangwala, and P. Duffy. 2013. “Future Climate: Projected Average.” In Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States: A Report Prepared for the National Climate Assessment, edited by G. Garfin, A. Jardine, R. Merideth, M. Black, and S. LeRoy, 101–125. A report by the Southwest Climate Alliance. Washington, DC: Island Press.

Dan Cayan (Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California, San Diego and U.S. Geological Survey)
Mary Tyree (Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California, San Diego)
Kenneth E. Kunkel (NOAA Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites, North Carolina State University and National Climate Data Center)
Chris Castro (University of Arizona)
Alexander Gershunov (Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California, San Diego)
Joseph Barsugli (University of Colorado, Boulder, CIRES)
Andrea J. Ray (NOAA)
Jonathan Overpeck (University of Arizona)
Michael Anderson (California Department of Water Resources)
Joellen Russell (University of Arizona)
Balaji Rajagopalan (University of Colorado)
Imtiaz Rangwala (University of Colorado, CIRES)
Phil Duffy (Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory)

Key Findings

Figure Gallery